Quadrant board

2×2 typology on Pillar 1 (civic hostility) vs Pillar 2 (SES distress), cut at 50. Demo points use P1_v1.1 × P2 for AAA / BBB / CCC.

Q1_SECURE

P1 low · P2 low

Q2_CONTROL

P1 high · P2 low

Q3_GRIEVANCE

P1 low · P2 high

Q4_POWDERKEG

P1 high · P2 high

P1 civic hostility → · Cut at 50

Population-weighted view (future) Headline publication should also report the population share living in Q4 and in the top GLII quartile — people under insecure rule, not just equal country flags. This demo plots country-equal archetypes only.